Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 398.727408 451.955758 510.729045 580.621806 661.708064 753.096105 864.283582
2026-02-01 325.171502 396.988681 483.351718 595.629401 738.860312 916.961391 1157.519977
2026-02-08 278.260976 356.667576 456.434991 594.185538 781.781173 1031.732180 1395.704771
2026-02-15 243.551202 324.400900 431.999252 587.944434 811.973932 1128.088249 1618.616211
2026-02-22 220.459337 303.505952 418.404013 592.151583 853.858857 1242.654903 1881.984406
2026-03-01 198.004895 280.317260 398.021823 582.624626 872.350964 1322.691584 2102.484199
2026-03-08 180.797114 262.495740 382.873869 578.078262 896.304042 1412.287248 2350.488159
2026-03-15 161.993880 240.257019 358.536581 555.885367 888.307940 1447.481535 2508.887063
2026-03-22 154.934252 235.122672 359.686513 574.085826 948.461440 1604.419376 2911.141394
2026-03-29 149.657068 232.150614 363.716445 597.080588 1019.124992 1788.906508 3397.997256
2026-04-05 140.708816 222.382223 355.604772 598.100447 1050.208215 1904.312233 3767.370951
2026-04-12 130.224148 209.164776 340.471561 584.945736 1053.110818 1965.547749 4033.302583
2026-04-19 120.816831 197.193540 326.732955 573.441067 1058.809479 2035.197895 4336.239577
2026-04-26 116.479738 193.578354 327.247705 588.455231 1118.461438 2224.280496 4952.039034
2026-05-03 110.096499 185.828988 319.639387 587.018690 1144.364257 2345.180734 5429.997711
2026-05-10 103.657059 177.466333 310.170080 580.864502 1159.450186 2444.144959 5873.800673
2026-05-17 99.157864 172.268690 306.102858 585.013523 1196.986566 2599.576649 6500.169258
2026-05-24 93.345905 164.213710 295.956426 575.618018 1203.319438 2682.279530 6945.956985
2026-05-31 88.602062 157.827646 288.517244 571.134273 1220.184749 2793.071587 7498.222730
2026-06-07 82.270204 147.997658 273.602850 549.246010 1193.951776 2791.928815 7717.039047
2026-06-14 80.736711 147.321592 276.831910 567.196767 1264.757025 3052.182901 8811.586431
2026-06-21 79.728421 147.588977 281.962571 589.874400 1350.165043 3366.420409 10172.093987
2026-06-28 76.641902 143.499719 277.780567 590.880152 1381.187869 3536.059367 11090.933085